Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case.
نویسندگان
چکیده
To guide risk assessment, expected numbers of cases and generations were estimated, assuming a case importation of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). Our analysis of 36 importation events yielded the risk of observing secondary transmission events at 22.7% (95% confidence interval: 19.3–25.1). The risks of observing generations 2, 3 and 4 were estimated at 10.5%, 6.1% and 3.9%, respectively. Countries at risk should be ready for highly variable outcomes following an importation of MERS.
منابع مشابه
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عنوان ژورنال:
- Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin
دوره 20 27 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2015